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The Deal Process
Last post 1:15 PM 06/06/08 by DanielMcAuley. 5 replies.

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  •  2:11 PM 07/29/07
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    Credit Spreads
     (5 votes)

    Lately all over the news there has been headlines of credit spreads increasing. I did not know what that meant but after some research I found out that it is the rate spread between the treasuries and non-treasury instruments. But what I am not understanding is what causes this to happen, I was under the impression that the non-treasury instruments are dependent on the rate on treasury instruments. Also are the banks issuing more expensive debt then they did about a month ago despite the treasury rates going down?

     Feel free to talk about if this is a treand or this spread will go back to its original size, and how this would impact the M&A deals going on.   

     

  •  2:34 PM 07/30/07
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    Re: Credit Spreads
     (3 votes)

    The issue of credit spreads is a very key one with respect to debt, debt capital markets, and the in many ways the overall market climate.  First, a few basics:  Nearly all debt is quoted based on a spread against an existing, usually risk free investment (this is known as the benchmark).  For most debt, that benchmark can be a US Treasury issue of similar maturity, LIBOR (the London Interbank Offering Rate), or the Prime Rate.  Spreads are quoted in “basis points” (or, in Wall Street slang, “bips”), which are 1/100 of a percentage point (or 100 basis points is equal to 1%).  So, for example, a company called Operating Co. issues 10 year bond that is tied to the US Treasury and sold at a spread of 100 basis points above the US Treasury yield.  Therefore, if the yield on the 10 year Treasury is 4.5%, then the yield on the 10 year Operating Co bond is 5.5% (4.5% + 1%) The spread becomes the numerical indicator of the credit risk of that particular offering; the greater the spread, the riskier the debt instrument (with time to maturity factored in as well). 

     

    In many cases, the credit spread can change or fluctuate depending on the terms established by the lender, or the covenants inherent in the issue.  Many lenders want to guarantee that the yield on the debt they write will not change wildly if interest rates change or other market conditions arise.  They want to ensure that there is a “floor” or lowest possible yield that will become locked in.  Provisions and Covenants can get creative on this matter, with any number of triggers, market conditions, or other company events that could force an adjustment to a credit spread on outstanding debt-

     

    The point made about credit spreads increasing is a direct indication that the debt marketing is “tightening”; i.e. lenders are asking for a higher return on new debt issues.  This is consistent with the discussion, both on this site and the business press in general, that easy access to credit and the tremendous debt commitments that drove the LBO and PE booms are ending and lenders are requiring a much greater premium for any new debt they underwrite.  With regards to the movement of the underlying benchmarks, and how that affects that debt that is tied to it, this is really 2 separate processes.  The Treasury department, through its own internal methodologies, will determine what yields US Government securities should be priced and sold at, and banks and other financial institutions determine, for the debt they will potentially issue on behalf of clients, which level of risk they are willing to accept and establish those spreads accordingly
  •  5:50 PM 07/30/07
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    Re: Credit Spreads
     (3 votes)

    Building on that... 

    Credit markets are becoming more risk averse.  So they demand a higher return relative to Treasuries (increasing spreads). 

    Saad is right that high yield interest rates depend on treasuries.  But they also depend on the spread to treasuries.  The appropriate yield for a bond can change b/c the risk free rate changes OR the spread to treasuries (reflective of risk premium) changes. 

  •  3:03 AM 09/13/07
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    Re: Credit Spreads

    Most deals are based off a plus LIBOR basis.  Also, banks aren't necessarily issuing more expensive debt rather no debt.  There is such a backlog of paper that hasn't been cleared, FirstData/TXU/chrysler that banks aren't focused on issuing new debt.

  •  9:04 AM 11/13/07
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    Re: Credit Spreads
    Does anyone know where I could find 10-year forward LIBOR rates? thanks in advance.
  •  1:15 PM 06/06/08
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    Re: Credit Spreads
    I'm pretty sure you can't get a 10-year LIBOR rate.
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